The Discordant Well Water - The Somali Political Tragedy (Part 10) (NEW)

By Prof. Mohamoud Iman Adan- Virginia, USA - The Response of the Junta Leaders: Mr. From the onset, Mr. Dabshid supported the guideline draft policy presented by Mr. Nabad-diid, but cautioned of influencing ethnic Islamic communities living in East African countries without first consolidating the rule of the country. He also emphasized the possibility of forming an independent armed wing for piracy capable of brawling the high seas at large, instead of joining individualistic pockets equipped with rudimentary fishing boats. Mr. Dabshid also underlined the need to empower loyal clans to defend the Islamic Emirate.
Editorial Keydmedia Online

Mr. Dibbir appreciated the strong position his comrades had taken to take over the leadership of the country and liquidating the corrupt TFG establishment, as well as getting rid of AMISOM mercenaries, who killed thousands of innocent civilians without regards. “My supportive clan militia is prepared to join forces with the Junta army and liberate the country from Ras Kiamboni to Cape Guardafu, and from Lawyo Addo to Adale sea shore. If we succeed in our struggle, then I'll accept to taking over the treasury Department of the Islamic Emirate,” he stressed.

Mr. Qiilmawaaye accepted all discussion points raised in the agenda and emphasized the need of enhancing certain loyal clans for taking over prominent roles in the political arena of the country, who were disfranchised during previous regimes. He also advocated the establishment of strong Junta army that could defend the stability of the regions under the rule of Islamic Emirate. I'm a well known potential leader that can make a difference. Elect me your first Amur,” he argued.

Mr. Abdalla Khaldoun, the eminent of the jihadist in the Junta alliance spoke the last and accepted all the discussion points contributed by Mr. Nabad-diid, Mr. Dabshid, Mr. Dibbir, Mr. Qiilmawaaye, and the rest of his comrades. However, he enthusiastically disclosed the first time his political dreams, and remarked, “If the Afghanistan's insurgency has taken a long time, then we have an Emirate Kingdom taking roots in East Africa within a few years, and that the Infidel World will have a handful problems to deal with.”

Mr.  Khaldoun stressed his strategy and remarked, “Kissing the forehead of our enemies and surviving under their contempt is over. Now, it is time to put fear in their hearts, and making them lose more sleep time. It is time to make them spend more resources in order to cope with their national security, as well as fighting for their political survival; and that is the practical way of earning more respect from a hostile world.”

Mr. khaldoun is a big believer of iron fist rule. He is a big believer of surviving with less amenities and worldly pleasure, maintain his close friends., “We leave behind a noble name after posterity, while stepping into an awesome reward of eternal blessing after life,” he underlined.

However, the leaders did not agree to nominate a top leader to lead the Junta; however, Mr. Nabad-diid has been temporarily chosen to preside over the Junta meetings, as well as their spokes man. The first Junta meeting hammered a temporary guiding policy for the rule of the land, signed and forwarded to the Radio Mogadishu for immediate release. The memorandum release, however, alarmed many concerned circles around the world, while motivating local residents take up the arms and fight along  AMISOM contingents and getting rid of the Junta menace for good.

But before closing the meeting a disquieting field report got into the bunker and read by Mr. Nabad-diid:  

A - TFG loyal forces had blocked all major roads leading to the center of the city, including Villa Somalia, the Airport, the Port and the National legislative palace.
B - Other armed faith-based factions groups joined with the TFG forces and local loyalists and repulsed the advancing Junta militias out of the suburbs of the City.
C - Amisom and the government security forces rescued and freed TFG imprisoned leaders with few casualties.
D - Amisom dug their heels and refused to hand over their military gear to the Junta field officers, while rounding up and holding hostage the Junta emissary squads.
E - Both Uganda and Rwanda declared of sending more troops to Mogadishu to bolster their contingents stationed there and saving the TFG.
F - Ethiopia had deployed four rescue brigades along the western border line of Southern Regions of Somalia and waiting the approval of EGAD countries to move in and support the Amisom forces bogged down in Somalia.
G - EGAD countries poured out their support to the TFG, while UN, the EC, the USA State Department and the Arab countries offered logistics and financial aid to the beleaguered TFG establishment.

It was a sweeping news, and the Junta leaders felt vulnerable for their lives for the first time. Without uttering a word, they left the bunker and retreated with Mr. Nabad-diid and Mr. khaldoun for further consultations.
Categorically, the culture and the concept of democratic institutions are missing in the Southern Regions of Somalia since the military regime took over the reign of the country in 1969; and this fact is due to the absence of political parties that could have dovetailed the smooth running of the country since then. Any other system of governance to take roots there is simply counter-productive and calls further social anarchy, political polarization and lack of stability as we witness today. The rebirth of political parties is the ultimate solution of laying the ground work for a healthy democratic governance of the country, and without that, we are simply building ivory castles on moving sand hills. The case in point is the multi-party system adopted by the Somali-land that shows an early harvest of democratic process taking roots.

Unlike tyranny and the rule of anarchy, political parties of diverse denominations are equipped with political system that promotes socio-economic development of the country on national/regional levels. Party stalwarts guide the principals of democracy that inspire the masses and groom future political statesmen, as well as coaching potential legislators, diplomats, cabinet ministers and top government leadership to rule the country with dedication and democratic principles. Party affiliated politicians rarely commit political blunders, while holding government positions, because they are monitored in the course of their tenure and are held accountable for their shortcomings during their political lifetime.

Prior the take over of the military regime in 1969, party officials enjoyed grass-root support country-wide, without relaying on clan loyalty and its association. An egalitarian society like Somalia, democratic recourse is the only viable system of government that can restore peace and stability in these troubled regions. Under the rule of anarchy, no politician bears any social contract, and it is uncommon to see a charismatic political leader inspiring his constituency and working on reconciliation and political compromise.

Today, the political reality prevailing in the Southern Regions of Somalia is just the opposite of what had to be in the democratic tradition. Nowadays, there's a multitude of freewheeling individualistic political upstarts cajoling for legislative positions, and regardless of their political orientation, social attitude and transparency about their backgrounds.

In the same token, there are warlords and military strongmen who are hungry for dictatorial power and supported by their clans or sub-clans for the top position of the government. Then, there are a good number of wealthy, political aspirants who had gained staggering richness over the course of the past three decades under UNDP contracts, as well as other spoils of the local wars. This clique do not have any national plans to stabilize these regions and promote the socio- economic development sectors, nor they do represent any constituency they are accountable for their worthiness.

Paradoxically, the World listens to this vocal group and give them political back up and financial support, just to perpetuate tyranny and further to bleed the country by prolonging the social anarchy. This violent cycle depopulates the land so that civilian population eventually resort to flee and opt to live in refugee camps, or risking shaky voyage and die on high seas. It is a blind, vicious circle, and no one coming up with any better alternative.

Another mind baffling aspect about Somali politicians is that no one's background is ever checked for such honorable government positions, in terms of their honesty, their mental frame and common sense. Perhaps, Somalia is the only place on the planet earth that a well known fraudulent contender remains beyond the realm of the law and enjoys the privilege of being chosen for cabinet positions; while parochial clan chieftains hold positions of national interest, not only to serve the nation to the highest standards, but to amass corrupt wealthy, and favoring the advancement of their clan or sub-clans.
In the same token, the Southern Regions of Somalia cannot gain social normalcy as long as the federal government has a hand in the rule of the regional affairs, which upsets peace and stability efforts to take roots.

In the absence of political parties, any elected federal leader wears three different hats of not his choice, but nonetheless, he cannot get away without them: a) He has to fill-in the position of the President of the Nation. b) Then he has to promote the interest of his sub-clan, clan, and tribe by offering them substantial positions in the government, or connecting with foreign business deals, as well as shoveling development projects for his ancestral homeland(s) during his tenure in office-as a payback obligation for his political future, and finally, c) He has to enrich himself with ill-gotten wealthy schemed from the national treasury, or bribed by international contracting companies. Needless to mention that cash charity funds offered by humanitarian rich Muslim leaders and entrusted to top government leaders to feed and sustain the poor segment of the society never see the light of the day, and are pocketed by top leaders. In the Southern Somalia, the sacrosanct concept of upholding the true values of a nation and the fulfilling the expected duty of honest leaders are lost forever.

The Peace Core team was outpaced and well spent of the day, and could hardly get into Villa Somalia to meet with the Junta leaders converged there late in the afternoon, because sensitive security detail ruled out of letting no one the Junta leaders did not recommend to get through. Even Ebla who had a good working relations with Nabad-diid could not sway the security commander to let her in. In the other hand, they could not get in touch with the TFG leaders who were bouncing back on power and deeply immersed of redevelopment efforts. By far, the TFG forces manned most Mogadishu road networks and other strategic points.

On their way to Villa Somalia, Peace Core had learned that AMISOM contingents and TFG field force officials were hand in glove and sharing logistics and intelligence sources. They have learned reinforcement war ships were anchored by the seaport and gunship choppers hovering over the City and dropping ammunitions and other military gear over AMISOM stations. They have learned that Al-Shabab militia were confined outside of the periphery of City and most of them retreating back for re-organization. Before dusk, the team retreated to their improvised lodge to discuss about the current situation and be prepared to move next day and try to prevent more bloodshed to take place. The following is the excerpt of the discussion they had till past midnight:

Dulmidiid: “The political landscape maybe changing hands pretty soon, and we are at odd with the volatile situation under way. The fighting parties are less than a mile apart, waiting reinforcement or other military supplies and are getting ready to escalate into a full blown war at any moment. What can we do to disengage the opposing forces, without knowing the position of their respective camps?” he asked.

Da'ad: “Very little at this crucial moment. The radio announcement released by the Junta this afternoon raised the political tension of the other side and helped mobilize their reserve forces. Even clans' militia supportive to the TFG beefed up their fighters an joined with the government forces,” he suggested.

Ebla: “It looks that the balance of the military strength is tipping in favor of the TFG. Can we try to shuttle between the respective camps and asking them to restrain their forces unless attacked?” she asked.”  

Shamso: “I think that the Junta alliance has crossed over the possibility of any compromising deal. They want to stay on the status quo, and hold fast, unless knocked down by awesome forces,” she predicted.

Da'ad: “The Junta has not yet agreed to nominate one of them as their chair leader; which means that they do not trust each other. To get a unanimous consensus of ceasefire, we have to shuttle in both camps and broker approval for a temporary truce, until we work out a viable, binding peace agreement good for all parts concerned,” he suggested.  

Abdi Agon: “The Junta has a bigger ambition, and compromising with the TFG may under cut their political designs. Their Islamic Emirate vision lays beyond the borders of Somalia,”he predicted.

Da'ad: “Suppose the Junta faction groups disagree on nominating one of them as their chair leader, and perhaps as the future leader of the Islamic Emirate. Do you think another coupe d' 'etat will take place from within, and without heeding to a political repercussion that may lead to their strength,” Da'ad predicted.

Dulmi-diid: “My gut tells me that Nabad-diid will get rid of the rest of the Junta leaders and crone himself as the Caliph of the proposed Islamic Emirate in the near future, he prophesied  

Da'ad: “As long as they fight with formidable external forces, I think they will stick together and operate as a team. Political in-fighting can only take place during peace time, which resonates to an indefinite time to come true,” he echoed.

Mr. Ali Bidar: “I think that the TFG and supporting clan militia can defeat Al-Shabab and Junta alliance.” The question is: “Do the TFG has the consistence and the fighting spirit like Al-Shabab?”

By Prof. Mohamoud Iman Adan ( ) - Correspondent

Editorial 13 May 2021 2:35

The current Somali government, whose mandate ended, came to power with the expectations of massive reforms in institutional and development settings. President Farmajo completed his term in office without paving the way for consensus-based elections; instead, he messed up the growing Somali institutions and the trust-building processes.